Cataurus Hicks vs. Duce Robinson: 2026 stats compared
Pittsburgh vs. 
Florida State
Cataurus Hicks is ahead on 4 of 6 stats, including receiving yards, catches and yards per catch. Duce Robinson has the edge on none of them. Both are wide receivers: Cataurus Hicks for Pittsburgh and Duce Robinson for Florida State, 2026 season through Oct 24, 2026.
Cataurus Hicks vs. Duce Robinson, stat by stat
| Stat | Cataurus Hicks | Duce Robinson |
|---|---|---|
| Receiving yards | 649 20th | 388 124th |
| Catches | 31 106th | 20 255th |
| Yards per catch | 20.9 16th | 19.4 32nd |
| Receiving TDs | 4 75th | 4 51st |
| Explosive catches (16+ yards) | 14 27th | 10 78th |
| EPA per play | 0.61 99th | — |
The better number on each row is marked. National ranks are among every FBS receivers and tight end with the stat; rates need a minimum sample (50 dropbacks, 20 carries, 8 catches). From the play-by-play, games through Oct 24, 2026.
Where do Cataurus Hicks and Duce Robinson rank nationally?
Each row is one stat. The dots show where Cataurus Hicks and Duce Robinson rank among FBS receivers and tight ends with enough snaps to qualify, with each player's rank printed by his dot: further left is better. Hover or tap a dot for the number behind it.
Cataurus Hicks and Duce Robinson, in charts
Cataurus Hicks and Duce Robinson: career stats
Cataurus Hicks
| Season | Team | Catches | Rec yds | Yds/catch | Rec TD | Rush yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | Louisville | 1 | 11 | 11.0 | 0 | — |
| 2024 | Louisville | 12 | 149 | 12.4 | 0 | — |
| 2025 | Pittsburgh | 24 | 422 | 17.6 | 4 | -5 |
| 2026 | Pittsburgh | 31 | 649 | 20.9 | 4 | 0 |
| Career | 68 | 1,231 | 18.1 | 8 | -5 |
Duce Robinson
| Season | Team | Catches | Rec yds | Yds/catch | Rec TD | Rush yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | USC | 16 | 351 | 21.9 | 2 | — |
| 2024 | USC | 23 | 396 | 17.2 | 5 | — |
| 2025 | Florida State | 56 | 1,074 | 19.2 | 6 | — |
| 2026 | Florida State | 20 | 388 | 19.4 | 4 | 0 |
| Career | 115 | 2,209 | 19.2 | 17 | 0 |
Seasons since 2022 from CollegeFootballData.com (FBS games), plus this season from the play-by-play.
Their seasons, game by game
Cataurus Hicks
WR, Pittsburgh (5–3). Junior. 5-10, 185 pounds. Miami, FL
| Week | Opponent | Receiving yards | Catches | Receiving TDs |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Miami (OH) | 114 | 5 | 1 |
| 2 | UCF | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 3 | Syracuse | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 4 | Bucknell | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 5 | Virginia Tech | 63 | 3 | 2 |
| 6 | North Carolina | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 7 | Boston College | 135 | 5 | 0 |
| 8 | Miami | 149 | 5 | 1 |
Duce Robinson
WR, Florida State (3–4). Senior. 6-6, 230 pounds. Phoenix, AZ
| Week | Opponent | Receiving yards | Catches | Receiving TDs |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SMU | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 3 | Alabama | 135 | 6 | 1 |
| 4 | Central Arkansas | 52 | 2 | 1 |
| 5 | Virginia | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 6 | Louisville | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 7 | Miami | 119 | 5 | 2 |
Questions about Cataurus Hicks vs. Duce Robinson
Who's better, Cataurus Hicks or Duce Robinson?
Cataurus Hicks is ahead on 4 of 6 stats, including receiving yards, catches and yards per catch. Duce Robinson has the edge on none of them. Both are wide receivers: Cataurus Hicks for Pittsburgh and Duce Robinson for Florida State, 2026 season through Oct 24, 2026.
Who has more receiving yards, Cataurus Hicks or Duce Robinson?
Cataurus Hicks: 649 receiving yards to Duce Robinson's 388, 20th among FBS receivers and tight ends.
Who has more catches, Cataurus Hicks or Duce Robinson?
Cataurus Hicks: 31 catches to Duce Robinson's 20, 106th among FBS receivers and tight ends.
Who has more explosive catches, Cataurus Hicks or Duce Robinson?
Cataurus Hicks: 14 explosive catches (16+ yards) to Duce Robinson's 10, 27th among FBS receivers and tight ends.
Who has more career receiving yards, Cataurus Hicks or Duce Robinson?
Duce Robinson: 2,209 to Cataurus Hicks's 1,231, counting FBS seasons since 2022.
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Everything on this site starts with someone else's data, and we credit all of it. The projections, picks, rankings and tiers are our own math on top.
Where the data comes from
| Source | What we use | How often |
|---|---|---|
| CollegeFootballData.com, via the public cfbfastR files | Schedules, final scores, pregame Elo, play-by-play and box score stats, rosters | Usually posted Sunday or Monday morning after games |
| DraftKings lines (via The Odds API and CollegeFootballData.com) | The line and total on each game, and where each opened | Every morning, and before kickoffs Thursday to Saturday |
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| 247Sports | Team talent composite, star counts, 2026 transfer portal rankings | Preseason |
| The NIL Standard | Estimated NIL roster values | Preseason |
| us-atlas (U.S. Census Bureau boundaries) | State shapes for the map | Once |
How we turn it into projections
- Projected score. Each team's SP+ offense, plus how far the opponent's SP+ defense is from average, plus special teams. The home team gets half of a 2.5-point home edge added and the visitor half subtracted.
- Win chance. The projected margin turned into a probability, assuming games usually land within about 14 points of the projection. A 0-point margin is 50%; 14 points is about 84%.
- The three ratings. SP+ is built from every play this season. PRIME is a possession-efficiency rating. Elo uses only final scores and carries over from year to year, with 55 Elo points of home edge.
- Big Al's pick. The team at least two of the three ratings favor, with our confidence the average of their three win chances for that team. On the game cards, a pick is a lock when all three favor the same team and the average win chance is 80% or more, a coin flip when it's under 55%, and a lean otherwise. Injuries can drop the tier: each key player out counts by what he does for his team (a starting quarterback is 2 points, the feature back or top receiver half a point, doubtful counts half), the other side's injuries offset, and 1 point drops a tier, 2 points two. The game page shows it as an injury alert. On the Top 25 games, the game of the week and every coin flip, Big Al makes the call himself, sometimes against the numbers, and says why.
- Big Al's Top 25. SP+, PRIME and strength of record, each converted to a common scale and averaged.
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- Missing data. When a team's play-by-play is clearly incomplete (fewer than 45 offensive plays a game), we hide its offense stats instead of showing bad numbers.
Rushing yards here exclude sacks, so they run higher than official totals. Ranks are out of the 138 FBS teams.
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- A rating built possession by possession: how well a team turns drives into points and keeps opponents from doing the same, adjusted for opponents. Zero is an average FBS team.
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- A results-only rating. Every team has a number, 1500 is average, and the winner takes points from the loser after every game. Beat a great team and you take a lot. Beat a bad one and you take a few. It carries part of last season over, so it's slow to catch a team that changed.
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- How impressive a record is, given who a team played: how many more games it won than an average team would have against the same schedule. It grades the resume. SP+ and PRIME grade how good the team is.
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- How hard a team's opponents have been so far.
- Opponent-adjusted
- Corrected for who a team played. Hanging 50 on an FCS team counts for less than hanging 30 on Georgia.
- EPA (expected points added)
- Every down, distance and spot on the field is worth some number of points on average. 1st and 10 at the opponent's 20 is worth a lot more than 3rd and 15 at your own 10. EPA is how much one play changed that number. A 50-yard bomb is a big plus. A pick-six is a very big minus.
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- The share of plays that go for a run of 12 or more yards or a completion of 16 or more.
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- Where a team's wins came from. Every team starts as a .500 team. The record above or below .500 gets split four ways that add up to the real record: schedule (what an average team would win against that schedule), roster (the wins its talent and returning starters are worth on paper), coach (wins from playing better or worse than that roster) and luck (actual wins against the wins its SP+ says it should have). On team pages and in two charts.
- Schedule, Roster, Coach and Luck BAWA
- The four parts of BAWA. Schedule: what an average team would win against that schedule, minus .500. Roster: the extra wins from a roster this good on paper (247Sports talent and returning production). Coach: wins from playing better or worse than that roster should. Luck: actual wins against the wins SP+ expects. Recruiting rankings undersell the service academies, so their coaches get extra credit.
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- The wins a team should have, adding up its win chance in every game it played. Winning more than that usually means a lot of close wins, and close wins are mostly luck.
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- 247Sports' score for a roster, built from every player's recruiting rating, with the best players counting most. The blue-chip ratio is the share of the roster that were 4- or 5-star recruits.
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About Big Al's CFB Lab
Big Al's CFB Lab is a college football stats site: a pick for every FBS game, head to heads across 75+ stats, the playoff picture, and charts you can bend to support any narrative (except Big 12 supremacy).
What's here
Every FBS team, player and game gets its own page, with national ranks, the ratings people argue about (SP+, PRIME and Elo) and charts you can share. The rivalry pages carry the series history. The tools let you build your own Top 25, your own 12-team playoff field and your own charts.
Who's Big Al
A college football fan who got tired of arguing without numbers. Big Al calls the Top 25 games, the Game of the week and every coin flip himself, and sometimes goes against the data. The rest of the picks are the ratings' call.
Where the numbers come from
We don't make the ratings; we put them side by side. SP+ is Bill Connelly's. SUPLEX is Nate Tice's. The play-by-play comes from CollegeFootballData.com and cfbfastR. The full list, and how we turn it into picks, is on Sources and methods.
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- 12 teams, under the 2026-27 rules. Automatic bids go to the ACC, Big Ten, Big 12 and SEC champions, and to the highest-ranked team from the American, Conference USA, MAC, Mountain West, Pac-12 or Sun Belt. Until the title games, each conference's current leader stands in as its champion.
- Notre Dame is in if you rank it in your top 12. Everyone else is at-large.
- Seeds go straight by your order. Seeds 1 to 4 get first-round byes; 5 to 12 play first-round games at the higher seed.
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What this shows
SP+ vs. payroll is the average, across a conference's teams with an NIL valuation (positive means its teams play better than their payrolls predict). Blue-chip ratio is the share of all its rostered players who were 4- or 5-star recruits.
Ranks are national, out of 138 FBS teams. A top-10 team also counts toward the top 25 and top 40, and everyone outside the last cutoff counts as weak. Open a conference to see its teams.
Conference depth
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Seeds 1–4 get first-round byes. Seeds 5–8 host the first round.
The field and the bubble
The columns on the right show where each team would be seeded under the other ratings. A dash means out.
How the field is built
- 12 teams. Five get in automatically: the ACC, Big Ten, Big 12 and SEC champions, plus the highest-ranked team from the American, Conference USA, MAC, Mountain West, Pac-12 or Sun Belt (champion or not).
- Notre Dame is in if it ranks in the top 12.
- At-large. The remaining spots go to the highest-ranked teams left. If an automatic qualifier ranks outside the top 12, it takes the last at-large spot.
- Seeding follows the ranking, as it has since 2025. A conference champion isn't guaranteed a bye.
- Champions mid-season. "Current conference leader" uses the best conference record so far, with ties broken by the chosen rating. "Highest-rated team" picks the best-rated team in each conference instead.
- Composite averages SP+, PRIME and strength of record after putting each on a common scale.
- This is a projection from today's numbers. The real field is chosen by a committee on Dec. 6, after conference title games.
How we picked it
How we picked it
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Where the game is won
Where the game is won
Each row puts one team's unit against the unit it faces, by national rank out of all FBS teams. An edge is a gap of 25 spots or more.
Injuries and availability
Statuses come from the conference availability reports and team news, as of the date shown. "Hasn't played" means a regular (the main passer, a quarter of the carries or 15% of the catches) with no pass, carry or catch in his team's last two games, from the play-by-play. That can be an injury, a benching or a suspension. Linemen and defenders don't show up in that check.
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Ratings: SP+ via CFB Update; PRIME via primecfb.com. Box and play stats computed from CollegeFootballData.com play data (via the public cfbfastR files), FBS games only for scoring. Rushing yards here exclude sacks, so they run higher than official totals. Ranks are out of 138 FBS teams.